DIE:EURONEXT BRUSSELSD'Ieteren Group SA/NV Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-11 - not real-time
€175.20
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
D'Ieteren Group trades at €175.2, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA of 183.8 and the 50‑day SMA of 181.3, confirming a bullish trend despite a modest RSI of 42 that hints at slight oversold pressure. The MACD histogram remains negative and the signal line is bearish, suggesting short‑term caution, yet volume is increasing and the price sits safely above the identified support at €166.1. Valuation metrics are mixed: a trailing P/E of 21x looks reasonable, while the forward P/E of 11x signals earnings acceleration, though a discounted cash‑flow fair value of €9.38 would imply the stock is currently overvalued relative to intrinsic estimates. Analyst sentiment is strongly positive, with a "strong buy" consensus and a median target of €224, indicating roughly 26% upside potential.
Fundamentally, revenue is declining at –5.8% and margins are thin (gross 24.8%, operating 5.3%), but the company delivers a solid ROE of 27% and generates positive operating cash flow. Debt stands at €2.44 bn against cash of €0.24 bn, and a negative book value per share yields a distorted P/B ratio, raising balance‑sheet concerns. Nevertheless, the dividend yield of 0.9% with a modest 19% payout ratio appears sustainable, and the diversified exposure across automotive retail, glass repair (Belron), and consumer goods (Moleskine) mitigates sector cyclicality.
Fundamentally, revenue is declining at –5.8% and margins are thin (gross 24.8%, operating 5.3%), but the company delivers a solid ROE of 27% and generates positive operating cash flow. Debt stands at €2.44 bn against cash of €0.24 bn, and a negative book value per share yields a distorted P/B ratio, raising balance‑sheet concerns. Nevertheless, the dividend yield of 0.9% with a modest 19% payout ratio appears sustainable, and the diversified exposure across automotive retail, glass repair (Belron), and consumer goods (Moleskine) mitigates sector cyclicality.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price near technical support but above it
- Increasing volume indicating buying interest
- Bearish MACD signal creating short‑term uncertainty
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Forward P/E of 11x suggests earnings acceleration
- Analyst consensus strong‑buy with median target €224
- Upside potential of ~26% based on target price
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Diversified business model across automotive and consumer segments
- High ROE of 27% and positive free cash flow
- Sustainable dividend with low payout ratio
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-5.80%
Profit Margin5.68%
P/E Ratio21.2
ROE27.45%
ROA3.73%
P/B Ratio-60.0
Op. Cash Flow€470.7M
Free Cash Flow€195.3M
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI42.0
Support€166.10
Resistance€199.70
MA 20€183.81
MA 50€181.35
MA 200€170.35
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index78.16
Valuation
Fair Value€9.38
Target Price€221.56
Upside/Downside26.46%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield0.90%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.21
Volatility32.14%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.